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This War Thing is Going to Ripple

Chemical Company HB Fuller March Earnings Call.

Now let’s turn to the developing supply chain impact resulting from the conflict in the Middle East and its implication for our business. This is a critical development for our industry. This conflict is already creating significant constraints on raw material availability with impacts that extend across feedstocks, intermediates, logistics lanes and energy inputs. We have received over 40 force majeure letters from suppliers in recent weeks, clear evidence that this is a major disruption. Chemical production capacity has decreased significantly and tanker routes have been disrupted and repositioned. Even if this conflict were resolved tomorrow, we would expect supply chain after shocks to persist throughout the year as inventories rebalance, transportation and logistics normalize and plants work through restart cycles.

As a result, there will likely be significant broad-based inflationary pressure and raw material shortages. While the magnitude will vary by region and technology, it is clear the system is under stress and volatility will remain elevated. We are taking swift and decisive action by deploying the full scope of our global sourcing and supply assurance infrastructure. Our global sourcing organization was an industry first mover, leveraging our long established strong relationships with suppliers and strategic category management.

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